Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.050345 0.058817 0.068254 0.079543 0.092680 0.107486 0.125443
2025-10-05 0.037743 0.048948 0.062756 0.081015 0.104525 0.133787 0.173000
2025-10-12 0.030041 0.042209 0.058411 0.081542 0.113720 0.156921 0.219391
2025-10-19 0.024838 0.037278 0.054929 0.081770 0.121554 0.178384 0.265844
2025-10-26 0.021357 0.033933 0.052785 0.083054 0.130442 0.201843 0.317779
2025-11-02 0.018981 0.031732 0.051801 0.085626 0.141219 0.229050 0.378616
2025-11-09 0.016022 0.028063 0.047887 0.082813 0.142833 0.241861 0.418000
2025-11-16 0.014087 0.025759 0.045787 0.082550 0.148370 0.261392 0.470639
2025-11-23 0.012403 0.023614 0.043610 0.081746 0.152696 0.279158 0.522209
2025-11-30 0.011327 0.022396 0.042870 0.083347 0.161407 0.305483 0.592253
2025-12-07 0.010090 0.020685 0.040971 0.082475 0.165300 0.323336 0.648545
2025-12-14 0.008875 0.018834 0.038545 0.080216 0.166142 0.335381 0.694905
2025-12-21 0.007765 0.017057 0.036068 0.077592 0.166058 0.345898 0.740246
2025-12-28 0.007218 0.016391 0.035763 0.079429 0.175417 0.376559 0.831233
2026-01-04 0.006624 0.015534 0.034938 0.080026 0.182188 0.402638 0.915812
2026-01-11 0.006070 0.014686 0.034014 0.080265 0.188173 0.427703 1.001317
2026-01-18 0.005652 0.014091 0.033573 0.081530 0.196614 0.459124 1.105147
2026-01-25 0.005359 0.013751 0.033668 0.084055 0.208299 0.499234 1.234262
2026-02-01 0.004769 0.012595 0.031683 0.081294 0.206954 0.508936 1.291933
2026-02-08 0.004388 0.011914 0.030760 0.081035 0.211715 0.533697 1.389671
2026-02-15 0.004019 0.011209 0.029687 0.080246 0.215024 0.555283 1.482142
2026-02-22 0.003800 0.010879 0.029527 0.081818 0.224641 0.593754 1.623055
2026-03-01 0.003491 0.010254 0.028511 0.080961 0.227695 0.615779 1.723282